Lance Armstrong's 34:56 10K and What to Expect at Tomorrow's Boston Marathon

An injury may make it tough for Lance tomorrow at the Boston Marathon. According to this Boston Globe interview, Lance cut his foot while training in Hawaii. We'll see how much impact this will have. His last race appears to have been the Scotland 10K in New York City on March 30th. In a Runner's World interview, Lance mentioned he was tentatively planning to run a half-marathon at the Austin Marathon, but it looks like he decided to do this 10K instead. At this 10K, he finished with a time of 34:56.

So based on this time, what should we expect at Boston? I plugged his 10K results into this Runner's World Calculator, and it gave a marathon time of 2:40:41. Of course it doesn't factor in injuries. So hopefully, the cut won't be an issue. In that Runner's World interview, Lance mentioned he was planning to run at least a mid 2:40's for Boston. So he may be on the right track.

It looks like they'll have good weather for tomorrow's marathon. The latest forcast is for a high of 56°F, a low of 43°F and partly cloudy skies.

Thanks to the reader who pointed me to these 10K results.