Road Race Stats - Marathons & Other Running Races

Saturday, February 02, 2008

Lance Armstrong's New York City Marathon Performances and Expectations for Boston?

Two weeks ago it was announced that Lance Armstrong is planning to run the Boston Marathon in April to raise money for his foundation. I thought this would be a good time for another post looking at Armstrong's marathon history.

It has been a while since my last post which looked at the results of the 2006 New York Marathon. That was the first marathon that Armstrong ran since his Tour de France victories. He finished the 2006 New York Marathon with a time of 2:59:36. He ran again last November (2007), and he made considerable improvement in his time with a finish of 2:46:43. It'll be interesting to see if he can continue this improvement in Boston.

Below are Armstrong's marathon race stats based on data from for the 2007 NYC Marathon and the 2006 NYC Marathon. I also included temperature stats from Weather Underground.

Date Time OverAll Men Men 35-39 Temp @ Sky
Place Place Place 9:00am
Nov 5, 2006 2:59:36 869 824 381 43°F clear
Nov 4, 2007 2:46:43 233 214 108 48°F scattered

Armstrong reduced almost 13 minutes off his 2006 time. A 2:46:43 time in 2006 would have put him in 261 place over all. The 2:59:36 time gave him 869 place in 2006. So you can see how much harder it is to take time off a sub-3 marathon. One thing I want to look into is how many other sub-3 runners were able to take 10 or more minutes off their times from the 2006 to 2007 marthon. In a previous post I looked at how much top runners were able to improve from the 2004 to the 2005 Boston Marathon. These 2006 and 2007 NYC Marathons should make for a better comparison since the temperatures in the two races were fairly close.

I'll also look into top marathon runners who have run both the New York and Boston Marathons. Have runners been able to improve their times at Boston? Perhaps this will give some insights into what we can expect from Armstrong.


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